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Unfortunately due to
other commitments our regular forecaster Wijke has had to give up the
weather for the time being.
If you have a keen interest in the weather and would be interested in
providing a regular forecast then mail me at
editor-@scribeweekly.com. You can check out the format below. Click on map for three day forecast for
your Country. General summary can be found bellow.
Summary updated Saturday
A small but active low passed
England from southwest to northeast yesterday; bringing some heavy showers
with thunder and hail to many places. It moved fast east during Friday night
and Saturday, to arrive at Denmark by Saturday afternoon. As the low passes,
rain and showers cleared away, leaving a mixture of bright spells and
clouds. However, the atmosphere is still unstable, and showers can easily
form later the day on Sunday as well as Monday. Scotland, Northern Ireland
and north-western area's of England will see more rain.
However southern regions of the country had some more settlement on
Saturday, as a high spread out over France towards the British Isles. This
high keeps the ocean lows at distance for a while. Not for long though, as
it'll withdraw to the east during Sunday night. With a south-eastern wind
it'll feel rather warm.
A rather active low is
developing in Southern France and moving very fast north during
Sunday. Probably some heavy thunderstorms can develop in the southeast by
Sunday night.
An area of low pressure on the ocean awaits its chance. It'll
move from southwest Ireland northeast to reach northwest Scotland by
Sunday-afternoon. The fronts of this low can easily reach western parts of
Britain. Wales, Western England, Northern Ireland and Scotland will see a
mostly rainy weekend, and are likely to stay out of the influence of the
French high.
Saturday: is likely to be a dry day for
most parts of England. The western area's have the biggest changes of
showers, sometimes heavy with hail and thunder. Later the day an occasional
thunderstorm can also develop over south and south-eastern England.
Sunday
will be another unsettled day. Bringing showers; heavy and prolonged to the
western area's. Again, central and eastern parts of England will be dry at
first, but during the day thunderstorms, can develop.
By
Monday ocean
lows dictate the weather again; it'll be unsettled, rain and showers from
time to time. In the southern area's thunderstorms can develop.
Wind and Weather:
"The sea dashes on
in endless swell" according to a Dutch poet. You can sit and watch
those waves for ever, but this source of imagination is also a subject of
study for marine meteorologists. They are not only occupied with
hurricane-warnings but also with forecasts for wave-height; using a computer
model called WAM (Wave Modeling Group); developed by the KNMI (Dutch Met
office) and specialists from several other countries. This WAM is published
in the book "Dynamics and Modeling of Ocean Waves" of the Cambridge
University Press. It describes how energy of lower waves can be collected
to develop higher waves. The wind at first causes lower waves that pass on
their energy into higher ones, in a very complicated way. Like a swing gets
its movement by little pushes.
So
the wave height is mainly due to the force of the wind; but also to the
duration of a storm and the depth of the
sea. A near gale (force 7) brings waves of about 12 feet
at the North sea; while during a storm (force 10 and more) the waves can
reach 18 - 24 feet.
The highest
waves of the North Sea ever, were during the storm of February 21 1993.
The average height was 24 feet, but there were peaks unto 45 feet. The waves
rushed from the Scottish east coast to the Dutch coast together with the
core of the storm. It stirred up a sort of resonance whereby these rare
heights were reached.
Scotland
England
Wales N-Ireland |
